Jan 24th 2019 Comment Risks to the Global Economy in 2019 The most important dangers will include a growth recession in China, a rise in global long-term real interest rates, and a crescendo of populist economic policies. A column by Kenneth Rogoff.
Jan 18th 2019 Comment Italy’s Writing on the Wall Italy has become a cautionary tale once again. Since its general election last March, the country’s political scene has fascinated and horrified international observers. A column by Harold James.
Jan 14th 2019 Comment Politics, Economics, and Carbon in 2019 The political recalibrations occurring in the world’s major economies highlight the limits on the level and pace of immigration a society can absorb without excessive disruption. A column by Michael J. Boskin.
Jan 11th 2019 Comment The Euro Turns 20 The euro’s first two decades played out very differently than many expected, highlighting the importance of recognizing that the future is likely to be different from the past. A column by Daniel Gros.
Jan 10th 2019 Comment Overestimating the EU Economy The EU needs political leaders who are capable of inspiring the public and willing to pursue consistent pro-growth policy initiatives in order to avoid a relegation battle. A column by Mohamed A- El-Erian.
Jan 10th 2019 Comment Are China’s Trade Practices Really Unfair? Complaints about unfair Chinese trade practices are actually complaints about the mismatch between the slow pace of economic opening and the very fast pace of modernization. A column by Daniel Gros.
Jan 9th 2019 Comment Why Is the Fed Still Raising Interest Rates? There are, at least, three good reasons that justify the view at the Federal Open Market Committee that the current interest rate is too low and needs to be raised. A column by Martin Feldstein.
Jan 4th 2019 International Selection «There Will Be More Rude Awakenings» Dan Ivascyn, Group Chief Investment Officer at Pimco, expects more market turmoil in 2019 and hints how investors can protect their portfolio.
Jan 4th 2019 Comment In Defense of the Fed The Fed is finally coming clean on the perils of asset-dependent growth and the long string of financial bubbles that has done great damage to the US economy over the past 20 years. A column by Stephen S. Roach.
Jan 3rd 2019 International Selection «It is going to get a lot worse» Ian Bremmer, political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group, a global political risk research and consulting firm, warns of the challenges that Europa faces in the next years and expects more protests in the street.
Dec 31st 2018 Comment Lies, Damned Lies, and AI In the age of AI, algorithms will force us to recognize how the outcomes of past social and political conflicts have been perpetuated into the present through our use of data. A column by Diane Coyle.
Dec 27th 2018 Comment The Limits of China’s Charm Offensive If China wants to make reliable friends in its neighborhood, it will have to make far greater concessions on security issues, especially territorial disputes. A column by Minxin Pei.