Jan 30th 2018 Comment Europe’s Doom Loop in Reverse No financial cycle lasts forever. But the one driving today’s recovery in the eurozone, including the peripheral countries that were hardest hit, may be set to persist for a while yet. A column by Daniel Gros.
Jan 29th 2018 International Selection Pimco: «It’s time to start betting the other way» Scott Mather, CIO U.S. Core Strategies and a managing director at Pimco, thinks that monetary policy normalization will be a game changer for financial and expects the return of volatility.
Jan 26th 2018 International Selection «We are in a period of irrational complacency» Alberto Gallo, portfolio manager and partner at the London-based asset manager Algebris Investments, doubts that central banks can normalize their policy without causing a correction.
Jan 25th 2018 Comment How Britain Could Change Its Mind About Brexit The sense of inevitability could be dispelled by recent shifts in the internal politics of both the Conservative government and the Labour opposition. A column by Anatole Kaletsky.
Jan 19th 2018 International Selection Rogoff: «China is the leading candidate for being at the center of the next big financial crisis» Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Public Policy at Harvard University, explains why the long economic slump is finally over and what the biggest risks for the future are.
Jan 19th 2018 Comment China, the Innovation Dragon Very soon, it will become more apparent just how quickly and easily the latest chapter in the Chinese success story will be written: Becoming an innovation leader. A column by Simon Johnson.
Jan 16th 2018 International Selection «High asset price valuations are worrying» Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist of J.P. Morgan, sees the world economy in a powerful feedback loop which gives growth a boost. The economy has overcome a «post-traumatic stress syndrome».
Jan 16th 2018 Comment Giddy Markets and Grim Politics While politics is not, at least for now, impeding global growth nearly as much as one might have thought, the long-run costs of political upheaval could be far more serious. A column by Kenneth Rogoff.
Jan 15th 2018 Comment Will Monetary Policy Trigger Another Financial Crisis? Central banks will need to pursue the great normalization gradually and avoid abrupt moves. They must maintain the balance of sustained moderate growth and low inflation. A column by Alexander Friedman.
Jan 11th 2018 International Selection «Financing needs in the Euro area are manageable» Rolf Strauch, Chief Economist of the European Stability Mechanism ESM, on the debt burden in the Eurozone and regional stability mechanisms.
Jan 11th 2018 Comment Financial Investors’ Wish List for 2018 However tempting it may be to focus on our own immediate desires, it is imperative now that investors’ wishes take into account the big economic and policy picture. A column by Mohamed A. El-Erian.
Jan 8th 2018 Comment Saving the Environment and the Economy The world must give up aspiring to economic growth so rapid that it is running down the world’s natural capital. A column by Edmund S. Phelps.